Monday, December 31, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Fort Lauderdale)

Our final F@cked Buyer post of 2007 is short sale being offered for 52% off its 2006 purchase price. It is also well below a previous purchase in early 2004.

It's been an interesting year to say the least.

2464 NE 22ND TERRACE, Fort Lauderdale, FL 33305

Sunday, December 30, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (NW Miami)

Check out this pictures of this crack house. Think about it; at one point an appraiser went to this house and deemed it worth $135,000. Perhaps the appraiser smoked some of that crack when he was making his assessment. Now it has been repossessed by the lender and is being offered for 50% off that 2006 purchase price.

1763 NW 68 ST, Miami, FL 33147

Saturday, December 29, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (West Palm Beach)

It's getting relatively easy to find condos and townhomes in Palm Beach County being offered for half off their 2005/2006 purchase price. Here's another one. This short sale is being offered for 49% off its 2006 purchase price. I remember when people used to laugh at me when I told them that we'd being seeing 50% price cuts.

160 LAKE GLORIA DR # 1600, West Palm Beach, FL 33411

Friday, December 28, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (West Palm Beach)

I covered another unit in this development back in September. That owner was f@cked, but this one is more severely f@cked (mainly due to the passage of time). This unit is being offered for 47% off its 2005 purchase price.

4271 SAN MARINO BLVD # 208, West Palm Beach, FL 33409

Thursday, December 27, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (West Palm Beach)

At one point, this F@cked Buyer thought it was prudent to pay $163,453 for a one-bedroom apartment in marginal area of West Palm Beach. Now that an inkling of sanity is returning to our market, this unit is being offered for 55% off its 2006 purchase price.

738 EXECUTIVE CENTER DR # 36, West Palm Beach, FL 33401

Wednesday, December 26, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (North Miami)

This property exemplifies the housing bubble. Nearly every unit in this complex is either in foreclosure or is already bank owned. Amazingly, someone actually paid $140,000 for this studio apartment. Now the lender is trying to sell if for half its price 2006 purchase price. I wonder how the HOA in building is doing trying to collect monthly fees.

2005 SAN SOUCI BL # 104, North Miami, FL 33181

Tuesday, December 25, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Miami - Brickell Area)

If you're going to lose money on real estate, you might as well go out large. Since this is being offered as a short sale, the lenders will probably lose more than $1.75M on this transaction. It's being offered for 49% off it March 2006 purchase price. HOA on this property is $1,700 a month and taxes are another $50,284.20 per year.

1331 BRICKELL BAY DR # 4211, Miami, FL 33131

Monday, December 24, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (West Palm Beach)

There's a bonus on this foreclosure; the F@cked Buyers left the furniture behind when the lost their house. It's now being offered for 41% off its purchase price, furniture and all.

406 SHEFFIELD Q, West Palm Beach, FL 33417

Sunday, December 23, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Boyton Beach)

The significant price drops in Palm Beach County are happening at every price level. This one-bedroom condo is being sold fro 39% off its 2005 purchase price.

1837 MEADOWS CIRCLE # 1837, Boynton Beach, FL 33436

Saturday, December 22, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Boca Raton)

I remember being told by colleagues that prices may come down in many South Florida neighborhoods, but not in desirable neighborhoods lie Weston and Boca Raton. Well, we're now seeing significant price drops in both areas. This home in Boca's St. Andrews development is being offered for 40% off its December 2004 purchase price.

7415 FENWICK PL, Boca Raton, FL 33496

Friday, December 21, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Davie)

You've got to wonder about some of these deals. This was purchased in 2006 for $998,900. Only 11 months later, it was sold for $1,250,000. In other words, it went UP over 25% at a time when virtually every other home in Broward County went down by 10% or more. Now, it's being offered as a short sale for 33% off the latest purchase.

4335 SW 141ST AV, Davie, FL 33330

Thursday, December 20, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Pompano Beach)

Here's another one with a staggering purchase price. Someone actually spent $1.3M for a 3/2 in Pompano Beach. Now it's in foreclosure and being sold for 44% off of that price -- and it still seems well overpriced. I have a feeling this one will be sitting on the market for another 103 days or more.


2585 SE 9TH ST, Pompano Beach, FL 33062

Wednesday, December 19, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Sunrise)

This foreclosure is down 53% from it's purchase price. It shows what is happening to the 55+ communities in Broward. They're getting absolutely crushed.

9700 SUNRISE LAKES BL # 301, Sunrise, FL 33322

Tuesday, December 18, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Davie)

Here are some more interesting transactions at Imagination Farms. In May 2006, a couple purchased this home for $980,000. Despite a market that was dropping rapidly, they sold the house just seven months later to the current "owner" for $1,225,000. They made a $245,000 profit while nearly everyone else in Broward County were seeing losses.

Of course, the current "owner" pruchased the house with 100% financing. Only 8 months after the purchase, the owner received a notice of default. Now, it's being offered as a short sale at a 35% discount off its last purchase price.

13021 SW 40TH ST, Davie, FL 33330

Monday, December 17, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Davie)

It's simply impossible to ignore the suspicious nature of this property. It was purchased just seven months ago for $1.5M using 100% financing for more than double its 2004 purchase price. Then, just seven months later, it's being offered as a short sale for 33% off the purchase price? How does someone get themselves in trouble that quickly?

This property was briefly listed for $799,000. A few days ago, the listing agent raised the price to its current price. Why?

It seems fitting that this home is in the Imagination Farms sub-development.

3913 SW 135TH AV, Davie, FL 33330

Sunday, December 16, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Surfside)

Here's another head-shaking purchase price that has resulted in another foreclosure. Only 18 months after its purchase, this home is being offered for 37% off its purchase price.

9024 EMERSON AV, Surfside, FL 33154

Saturday, December 15, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Homestead)

As I look at these F@cked Buyers, I am amazed that some people bought in so late. This home was purchase only 11 months ago for a price that far exceeded its true market value. Weren't buyers aware that a bubble had burst? A year from now, I imagine we'll be saying the same thing about people who are buying today. Now this property is being offered as a short sale for 33% off its purchase price.

On a side note, based on the photos available on Ziprealty.com, I doubt that this is in a very good neighborhood. Every window is covered with bars -- the home resembles a prison.

13624 SW 284 TE, Homestead, FL 33135

Friday, December 14, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Hialeah)

Here's another unbelievable purchase price that certainly raises suspicion. Just eight months ago, someone actually paid $430,000 for a 3/2 home in Hialeah. Now it's behind offered as a short sale for 35% off of that purchase price.

19020 NW 84 PL, Hialeah, FL 33015

Thursday, December 13, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Miami)

Just a few months ago, short sales were typically were intitially listed at or near the original purchase price. Now, it seems like short sales are being initially listed far below the purchase prices. In this case, this home is being offered for 36% below its purchase price 16 months ago.

13513 SW 183 TE, Miami, FL 33177

Wednesday, December 12, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Lake Worth)

Here's another one with a head-scratching purchase price. I guess purchase prices like this are the result of 100% financing. I can guarantee you that no one would have paid $225,000 for this home had they been required to put 10% ($22,500) down. It is now been foreclosed on based on the listing agents notes. It is being offered for 58% below its purchase price.

1109 S 15TH AV, Lake Worth, FL 33460

Tuesday, December 11, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Jupiter)

I'm starting to see this pricing strategy more and more. This home was listed 142 days ago and they have dropped the price almost every 12 days. It has now had 11 price reductions from its original and silly listing price of $244,500. The current price (bound to change shortly) is 36% off of its purchase price two years ago.


6404 CHASEWOOD DR # 27-G, Jupiter, FL 33458

Monday, December 10, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Boyton Beach)

Again, this one has a perplexing purchase price. Did the buyer actually believe that paying over $160,000 for a one-bedroom apartment in Boyton Beach was a good idea? Now, it's being offered for 48% off of that purchase price and it's still probably over-priced.

815 W BOYNTON BEACH BL # 5-205, Boynton Beach, FL 33426

Sunday, December 9, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Boca Raton)

This home is selling for 35% below its purchase price only 20 months ago. It has languished on the market now for 225 days despite seven price drops.

10772 CYPRESS LAKE TE, Boca Raton, FL 33498

Saturday, December 8, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Ft. Lauderdale)

Another unbelievable purchase price equals another huge haircut on a short sale. Just 10 months after its purchase, this unit is being offered for 45% off.

1000 NE 17TH ST, Fort Lauderdale, FL 33305

Friday, December 7, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Sunrise)

The listing agent advertises this as "great for investors" claiming that the unit, which is facing foreclosure, is rented for $1100. First, who in the right minds would actually rent this place for $1100? Second, at $130,000 with $284 in monthly HOA, it PITI would cost at least $1350 per month (assuming a 7% loan) -- not exactly cash-flow positive. Lastly, I wonder if anyone has bothered to tell the renter that his landlord was facing foreclosure and will probably be evicted shortly?

3780 NW 91ST LN # 3780, Sunrise, FL 33351

Thursday, December 6, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Ft. Lauderdale)

This foreclosure is being offer for 35% off the original purchase price. Of course, since it is in foreclosure, it comes complete with a deep green pool.

3341 JACKSON BL, Fort Lauderdale, FL 33312

Wednesday, December 5, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Coral Springs)

When I post these F@cked Buyers, I am often amazed at some of the prices that some fools paid for homes. Just 10 months ago, long after the bubble had started to deflate, someone paid over $300,000 for 3-bedroom condo that had just been converted from apartments. One could have easily purchased a 4-bedroom single-family home with a pool and no HOA only block from this condo-conversion. What in the world were they thinking? Now, this unit is being offered as a short sale for 49% off the previous purchase price -- nearly half the price in 10 months. Ouch.

8871 WILES RD # 108-8, Coral Springs, FL 33067

Tuesday, December 4, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Miramar)

This unit is listed 41% below its previous purchase price just 19 months ago. It is also well below it 2004 purchase price before that. I'm not surprised. Of all the Broward neighborhoods, I think Miramar will face the largest drops due to all the over-building.

8353 SW 25TH CT # 102-3, Miramar, FL 33025



Today's Local Real Estate News: "This is the most serious housing downturn since the Great Depression."

The local newspapers provided extensive coverage of mortgage crisis and the proposed intervention in the Treasury Secretary Paulson. The Sun-Sentinel reports:

“The chief executive officer of the country's biggest mortgage lender says greater government intervention is needed to rescue the U.S. housing market as his peers warn the worst is yet to come.”

“Daniel Mudd, chief executive of government-backed mortgage finance company Fannie Mae, called intervention a "positive step," saying that many borrowers will be able to avoid foreclosure if they are given more time. "Largely, the industry is beginning to reconstruct itself," Mudd said.”

“The gloomy assessments of the housing market were made Monday at a conference sponsored by the Office of Thrift Supervision, where Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said an agreement is imminent to temporarily freeze interest rates on thousands of mortgages at risk of default.”

“Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, predicted that, if the economy slips into recession or if efforts to modify home loans don't pick up substantially, the housing market downturn could last through the end of the decade.”

“‘This is the most serious housing downturn since the Great Depression,’ Zandi said.”

“In South Florida and across the nation, mortgage defaults are rising, and experts warn that more people will lose their homes to lenders in 2008.’

The Miami Herald reports:

“Revealing more details about a national mortgage-rescue plan that's still in the works, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson proposed Monday to help state and local governments issue tax-exempt bonds to pay for mortgage refinancing and confirmed that he seeks to temporarily freeze the rates of tens of thousands of home loans that are about to adjust to higher rates.”

“Paulson told a national housing forum that Congress should authorize state and local governments to broaden their tax-exempt bond programs temporarily. Currently, states have authorization to issue tax-exempt bonds only to aid first-time home buyers in designated distress zones. Paulson proposed to expand this to allow state and local governments to issue tax-free bonds to help in mortgage refinancing.”

“He also confirmed that he is trying to craft a plan that would prevent massive foreclosures when roughly 1.5 million adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, reset to higher monthly rates next year. The affected ARMs involve subprime loans -- those given to borrowers with weak credit histories.”

“‘'As volume increases, we will need an aggressive systematic approach to fast-track able borrowers into a refinance or mortgage modification,'' Paulson said. He stressed that there would be no government subsidy to borrowers or lenders.”

Finally, the Palm Beach Post adds:

“Until now, President Bush favored government restraint. But with investors losing millions as Wall Street banks write down billions of dollars in bad home-loan investments amid mounting concerns about economic stability, the White House is pressuring the mortgage industry to offer a sweeping fix for the problem.”

“The Bush administration is "willing to consider action that would have been inconceivable just weeks ago," mortgage industry consultant Howard Glaser wrote in a research note.”

“That doesn't mean the rate-freeze approach being promoted by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson won't face resistance from mortgage industry executives. And some on Wall Street warn of a flood of lawsuits if the government tries to coerce the owners of loans held in complex mortgage securities to focus on long-term rather than short-term returns.”

“‘I don't think (the Treasury plan is) being very well-received at all," said Bert Ely, a banking consultant based in Alexandria, Va. ‘There are lots of legal issues here that they are not addressing that are in the minds of everybody who works on this stuff.’”

“Details of the Treasury plan, which could be formally unveiled later this week, stops short of a taxpayer-funded bailout for borrowers, an idea rejected by both Democrats and Republicans. Some specifics of the plan have trickled out, such as homeowners being given a break of two to five years if they are currently making payments on time but wouldn't be able to do so when their mortgages adjust to higher rates.”

While the following story has absolutely nothing to do with the local market, I believe that the exact same situation exists here locally. It also shows why I believe Paulson efforts will have little effect. The Nevada Appeal reports on foreclosures in Las Vegas:

“The head of an independent Southern Nevada research firm told lawmakers Monday nearly 60 percent of homes in foreclosure there are not occupied by their owners.”

“That means they are either rentals or homes purchased by speculators during the housing boom of the past couple of years.”

“Jeremy Aguero, of Applied Analysis in Las Vegas, said of the nearly 30,000 unsold homes on the market, 42 percent are vacant and another 11 percent occupied by renters.”

“Duncan said Nevada, California, Arizona and Florida are in the same situation and the cause is a mix of over-development and speculative investment.”

“‘Housing construction should be in proportion to population growth but there's been a dramatic increase in housing construction compared to population growth," he said. ‘That probably indicates over-building. There's a massive supply of houses on the market.’”

“But the market has effectively collapsed, not just in Nevada but nationwide. Homes are now on the market for months, selling sporadically when owners agree to drop prices. And with adjustable-rate mortgages beginning to trigger, many homeowners and investors are finding they can't afford their new, higher payments.”

“He said large numbers of those speculators who see their investment dropping in value and the market stalled ‘will simply turn in the keys and walk away.’ When they do that, he said, the house doesn't show as delinquent.”

“Aguero said there are more than 6,000 foreclosures in Nevada ‘in the pipe’ today. And Duncan said the situation won't turn around soon.”

“‘We expect sales will continue to fall for some time," he said.”

The International Herald Tribune reports on the run on the state-run investment account:

“Florida schools and towns with money frozen in a state-run investment account are unlikely to get their cash back Tuesday when officials are scheduled to meet to discuss a crisis prompted by withdrawals that drained almost half of the fund's $27 billion in assets, a policy officer said.”

“‘If we reopen the window without limitations on Tuesday, and we see behavior like we've seen up to now, there's simply no way to meet that demand without having a fire sale on assets,’ said the policy officer, James Francis, who works at the State Board of Administration, the manager of the Local Government Investment Pool.”

“In a conference call Friday, a day after withdrawals were frozen, officials raised the possibility of paying less than 100 cents on the dollar to governments seeking cash. The board also hired BlackRock, the largest U.S. publicly traded money manager, as an adviser.”

“Florida counties and schools pulled out $13 billion in assets last month after learning that the pool, described by state officials as a money market fund, held $1.5 billion of downgraded and defaulted debt tainted by the subprime mortgage market collapse. The crisis shows the far-ranging effects of the housing slump, as complex investments once sold as high-yielding havens are now backed by collateral that investors do not want.”


The Sun-Sentinel reports on asset liquidations by local-builder Lennar Corp.:

“Home builder Lennar Corp. formed a land investment venture with Morgan Stanley Real Estate to acquire, develop, manage and sell residential real estate, with Miami-based Lennar selling properties valued at $1.3 billion to the venture for $525 million.”

“The acquired properties include about 11,000 home sites in 32 communities throughout the country, consisting of raw land as well as partially and fully developed home sites in Florida, California, Colorado, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada and New Jersey.”

“As of Sept. 30, the acquired properties had a book value of about $1.3 billion for one of the nation's largest home builders.”

“The deal generates immediate cash for Miami-based Lennar and is a continuation of the company's strategy of seeking to become a "near assetless home builder," Wachovia Capital Markets analyst Carl Reichardt wrote in a Monday report.”

“JP Morgan research analyst Michael Rehaut wrote that the $775 million loss on the deal as a "net negative" for Lennar and the home-building industry because it points to more impairment charges on assets.”

“‘We believe the loss on the sale is a major negative, as it shows charges are far from over,’ Rehaut wrote.”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on the proposed “Save our Homes” portability amendment:

“This so-called portability is one part of a new tax plan that also would increase the existing $25,000 homestead exemption to about $40,000 and cap taxes for businesses and second-home owners. The package needs the approval of at least 60 percent of voters on Jan. 29 to take effect.”

“While portability would reward longtime residents, it would do nothing for first-time home buyers or retirees from out of state and may not immediately help people who bought at the peak of the housing boom in 2005.”

“‘It's far from perfect,’ said Lori Parrish, Broward County's property appraiser. ‘But it's something. It's another tool in the toolbox for home buyers and sellers.’”

“Many South Florida homeowners are staying put to avoid those huge tax increases, and that has contributed to the housing market's malaise. Home sales across the region have declined for at least two years, in part because of the property tax implications people face when they move.”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on efforts to build affordable housing in Delray Beach:

“Improvements on a run-down apartment building in Delray Beach are progressing, and the contractor plans to finish the affordable-housing project by the end of the year.”

“Once completed, the Delray Beach Community Land Trust will administer the property. Rentals will range from $301 to $724 a month, depending on income.”

“The building is part of the city's $40 million effort to improve the West Settlers Historic District, a historically black neighborhood attracting some white residents. The building is down the street from the rear of the former LaFrance Hotel, which was reopened in November after it was made into affordable housing for low-income seniors.”

Monday, December 3, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (West Palm Beach)

The foreclosure in Palm Beach Country Estates is selling for 26% below its 2005 purchase price.


15348 N 80TH DR, West Palm Beach, FL 33418




What's it worth? Duo Condos -- Hallandale

As prices start to fall significantly, some regular readers are starting to consider a purchase. Therefore I’ve decided to add a post called, “What’s it worth?” The post is designed to solicit opinions on the value of a particular property – not necessarily the current market value, but price point where buying the property as a residence (not to flip) makes sense.

The following email from a reader gave me the idea for this new post :

"I love reading your site, thanks. I was wondering if you had a message board that I could discuss specific buildings I'm looking at with other local market observers? I searched the site but can't seem to find anything. If there is no board, would you have any insight into the newly constructed Duo building in Hallandale? I've been watching it for a few months and am seeing the prices steadily decline, but am not sure at what point 915 square feet of new construction is a good price. The cheapest is $232,000 right now. I'm also concerned about what happens in the event that this building has like 20 people living in it if everyone else were flippers or people who are now going into foreclosure. How does the maintenance of the building get paid by such a few number of owners?"

"Thanks for any insight."


For some background, here’s some websites that show the property. The first one shows the overall condo and the second one shows most of the listings both for sale and for lease:

Weichert Realty

Condocompany.com

Keep in mind that according to the listing agents, the monthly HOA on these condos are around $400, $500, and $650 for the 1, 2, and 3 bedroom units respectfully.

What do you think this property is worth? What will be a good price point for the 1, 2, or 3 bedrooms?

Sunday, December 2, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Various in West Palm Beach)

Today's F@cked Buyer illustrates how a single "investor" was able to reak havoc on our local real estate market. Between January 2005 and September 2006, this one would-be Donald Trump purchased five homes, all with 100% financing. Now, two have been sold, two are being offered as a short sales, and one was foreclosed on and is on the market as an REO.

Here's a single "investor's" path of destruction:


Home #1: 801 S OLIVE AVENUE # 1622, West Palm Beach, FL 33401
This condo, which is being offered as a short sale, is listed 47% below its purchase price just 14 months ago

Home #2: 289 BEVERLY RD, West Palm Beach, FL 33405
This home has already been foreclosed on. The lender is selling it 38% below its 2005 purchase price.


Home #3: 424 28TH ST, West Palm Beach, FL 33407
This home is listed as a short sale for 44% below its 2005 purchase price.


Home #4: 651 Okeechobee Blvd Apt 209, West Palm Beach, FL
This home was actually sold, probably as a short sale, for 33% below its purchase price.


Home #5: 651 Okeechobee Blvd Apt 409, West Palm Beach, FL
Our would-be Donald Trump actually made money on this one. How much do you think he'll pay back to lenders after they lose their shirts on all his "investments?"

Adding all this up, this one "investor" will account for at least $827,354 worth of real estate losses before considering all the legal and carrying costs by the lenders -- all with "someone else's money."

Saturday, December 1, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Greenacres)

Just four months after purchasing this property, the lender started foreclosure proceeding against the "homeowner." Now less than two years after the purchase, the lender is trying to sell the property for 26% below the purchase price.

2206 SOUNDINGS CT., West Palm Beach, FL 33413

Thursday, November 29, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Plantation)

I think homes will eventually sell for less than $110 per square foot in better West Broward neighborhoods. At $137 per square foot, this home is getting closer. It's also being sold $41,000 below its 2004 purchase price and 37% below its 2005 purchase price.

7360 NW 14TH ST, Plantation, FL 33313

Home Prices are Up in Broward County!

At least that is what the Mainstream Media and the Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR) would like you to believe.

I started this site mainly because of my frustration with my local paper, the Sun-Sentinel, and its primary real estate reporter, Paul Owers. Today’s article on Broward home prices illustrates that frustration where Owers writes:

“The median price of an existing home sold in Broward last month inched up 1 percent to $354,000 from $349,400 a year ago, the Florida Realtors group said Wednesday. The county's prices have been up and down in recent months, but analysts say prices are trending downward across the region.”

“Existing-home sales dropped 28 percent in October, to 428 from 591 a year ago.”

“Broward's median price has slipped nearly 10 percent since peaking at $391,100 in November 2005. One analyst said area prices could drop another 10 percent in the coming year, with some neighborhoods experiencing more severe declines.”

Once again, Owers uses the ridiculous statistic provided by the FAR, "Median Home Price," to describe the direction of home prices. As explained in a previous post on this subject, this statistic is actually the median price of homes actually sold. When using the statistic, Owers and other media should properly describe it as the "Median Price of Homes Sold." Instead, he never bothers to describe the statistic. As a result, the typically uniformed, naïve reader would read this article and believe that homes prices are actually going up modestly in Broward County.

Anyone who follows our local market or reads this site knows that nothing could be further from the truth. It isn't that prices are going up; the statistic is still increasing because high-end homes are still being sold in our market albeit slowly. On the other hand, sales in low-end market have slowed to a trickle. So, the statistic is skewed by continued activity on the high-end and miniscule activity on the low-end.

If Owers wanted to present a realistic account of our current real estate market, he would at least counter FAR’s statistic with a much more representative statistic, the "Median Listing Price." This statistic looks at all homes listed on the market (on the MLS) and determines its median price. When we look at this statistic, it tells a much different story. As I reported on Tuesday, the Median Listing Price is now down 11.46% since last year -- a much different picture than the 1% increase that Owers and FAR are trying to dupe people into believing.

Another ploy by media is to ignore the severity of the slowdown in sales. Back when the market was healthy, nearly five times the number of homes sold in Broward County. For instance, in June 2005, 2,477 homes sold in Broward County. Right now, there are 17,407 single-family homes for sale in Broward County. In other words, we currently have nearly 41 months of inventory on the market (a healthy market normally has less than six months of inventory).

Wednesday, November 28, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Coral Gables)

This property has languished on the market for over a year. It was originally listed for $745,000 and have dropped the price 12 times since. How low can they go? They're already 39% off its 2005 purchase price.


1559 TREVINO AV, Coral Gables, FL 33134




Today's Local Real Estate News: "The best thing for government to do is just what any savvy shopper would: buy, buy, buy."

The U.S. Conference of Mayors assembled to discuss the impending foreclosure crisis. The Sun-Sentinel reports:

“A mortgage industry group agreed Tuesday to help the nation's mayors raise public awareness about ways to avoid falling into foreclosure as part of an effort to address the nation's housing crisis.”

“The agreement was announced following a meeting in Detroit organized by the U.S. Conference of Mayors and attended by mayors from across the country. The Mortgage Bankers Association also plans to help cities get access to information on homes in foreclosure to ensure those properties don't blight neighborhoods.”

“‘The foreclosure crisis has the potential to break the backbone of our economy,’ Douglas Palmer, mayor of Trenton, N.J., and president of the mayors group, said after the meeting at the MGM Grand Detroit hotel.”

“Meanwhile, mortgage foreclosures remained a major concern for South Florida homeowners in October. There were 2,122 Broward County residents last month who were behind on their mortgages and face losing their homes to lenders, almost triple the 732 a year ago, according to Realestat.com of Plantation. Broward had 710 foreclosure sales last month, more than double the 344 a year ago.”

“In Palm Beach County, 1,291 residents in October were behind on their home loans and face foreclosure, up from 478 a year ago. The county's foreclosure sales were up 69 percent over the same period, from 166 to 281.”

The Palm Beach Post expanded on this story:

“Home foreclosures from West Palm Beach to Miami will reduce the region's economic growth by nearly $2.1 billion next year, according to a report released Tuesday by the U.S. Conference of Mayors.”

“Meanwhile, more bad housing news came from Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, a closely watched survey that showed home prices in 20 major markets declining 4.9 percent in September from a year ago.”

“That study showed the largest declines over the past year were in Tampa, where prices fell 11.1 percent compared with last year, and in the Miami metropolitan area, including Palm Beach County, where prices dropped 10 percent.”

“‘There is no real positive news’ in the statistics, economist Robert Shiller said in a statement. ‘Most of the metro areas continue to show declining or decelerating returns on both an annual and monthly basis.’”

“The mayors' report was based on economists' assumption that another 1.4 million homeowners will face foreclosure next year, forcing them to walk away from houses worth a total of $316 billion.”

“The resulting turmoil in the housing sector will reduce economic growth by $166 billion nationwide, according to the study, conducted for the mayors by forecasting firm Global Insight Inc.”

“‘The foreclosure crisis has the potential to break the back of our economy, as well as the backs of millions of American families, if we don't do something soon,’ Trenton, N.J., Mayor Douglas Palmer said in statement on the report, released at a meeting in Detroit of mayors, mortgage industry officials and community advocacy groups. Palmer is president of the mayors group.”

The Miami Herald reports on how the foreclosures will affect the local economy:

“In the ranking of regions by projected amount of economic growth lost, Florida's cities hold up relatively well, probably because strong performances in tourism and international trade are helping offset the housing slump. The state's tourism agency said Monday that visitors to the Sunshine State this summer increased nearly 5 percent over last year.”

“Miami-Dade and Broward counties ranked 111th on the list of 361 areas, and the two counties' combined economy is expected to grow by 2.2 percent next year -- down from the recent boom years but above the national average of 1.9 percent forecast. The report did not disclose its methodology.”

“The mayors, who begin meeting Tuesday in Detroit, hope to call attention to the cascading problems arising from falling home prices, an expected 1.4 million foreclosures and the pending reset of millions of adjustable-rate mortgages.”

“Lauderhill Mayor Richard J. Kaplan, who is in Detroit for the meeting, said city governments could help soften the blow out of the real estate market in several ways.”

“Options the mayors will discuss include changing state laws to allow cities to better maintain abandoned homes and working with lenders to help keep borrowers out of foreclosure.”

“‘Florida law limits us significantly in trying to prevent one house from destroying an entire neighborhood,'' Kaplan said. In many cases cities have no authority to repair windows or pick up trash strewn across the lawns of unoccupied property, Kaplan said.”

“Miami Mayor Manny Diaz pointed out that the city of Miami had already implemented a number of foreclosure prevention programs. He said nation's mayors had the bully pulpit and would use it to further enlist the participation of lenders, and the U.S. Congress, to help homeowners to work their way out of mortgage problems.”

“‘It was the lending industry, the mortgage industry and financial institutions that created this situation; they should come to the table to offer solutions. And Congress needs to step up and regulate and make sure this kind of thing doesn't happen again,’ Diaz said.”

The Miami Herald reports on housing price declines in South Florida:

“Home prices in Miami fell 10 percent in the past year, the second most in the nation, according to data released Tuesday.”

“Nationwide, home prices fell 4.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the sharpest drop since Standard & Poor's began its nationwide housing index in 1987 and another sign that the housing slump is far from over, the research group said Tuesday.”

“Tampa and Miami led the index with the lowest year-over-year declines at 11.1 percent and 10 percent, respectively. It also showed drops in San Diego of 9.6 percent; Detroit, 9.6 percent; Las Vegas, 9 percent; Phoenix, 8.8 percent; and Los Angeles, 7 percent.”

“The S&P's 10-area index decreased 5.5 percent in September from the previous year.”

Last week, the National Association of Realtors said that sales of existing homes fell in 46 states in the third quarter. However, the trade group said home prices rose in 93 of the 150 metropolitan areas surveyed.”

In the face of all this, Miami-Dade Commission, Marc Sarnoff came up with an absolutely ridiculous proposal, which is really just a thinly-veiled attempt to bail out troubled developers and under-water flippers. The Miami Herald reports:

“Miami's former building boom -- nowadays beset by sluggish condo sales, panicked investors and worries that market conditions may get worse before they get better -- has become Miami's building bargain, one city commissioner says.”

“And Commissioner Marc Sarnoff says the best thing for government to do is just what any savvy shopper would: buy, buy, buy.”

“The commissioner says if prices dip as low as $175 per square foot, government should purchase condo units and partially subsidize them for teachers, police officers and the like.”

“Sarnoff says a wide range of condo units are currently available in the $225 to $250 per square foot range, and he expects prices to drop in coming months.”

“Under Sarnoff's plan, condo buyers who qualify for government incentives -- likely workers earning between roughly $28,000 and $65,000 -- could receive down payment assistance or help with paying their condo maintenance fees.”

“‘If the marketplace presents an opportunity -- the city, the county, the state should react to that opportunity,’ Sarnoff said.”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on bankruptcy proceedings with Levitt & Sons:

“Levitt and Sons of Fort Lauderdale, the iconic builder of suburban homes, is on the verge of ending its 78-year run.”

“A bankruptcy judge on Tuesday allowed the builder to hand back property and unfinished homes to two of its lenders, which are also among its biggest creditors, a sign that Levitt and Sons is winding down its operations.”

“Negotiations continue with other lenders, and that could permit the company to complete construction in some communities. Levitt and Sons halted building in October.”

“Angelo and Paula Palermo are renting an apartment in Pembroke Pines while waiting for their $380,000 house in Port St. Lucie to be finished. They said they haven't heard a word about their $38,000 deposit or the status of their home.”

“‘I can't stand living out of these boxes,’ Paula Palermo said Tuesday. ‘I don't know what to do. I have no answers.’”

“Bob Oblas of New York was scheduled to close on his Port St. Lucie retirement home at the end of October. But he wrote a letter to the builder, demanding his money back.”

“‘I find this horrific,’ Oblas said. ‘I can't see closing at this point.’”

The Sun-Sentinel printed the following opinion advocating Save our Homes portability:

“I am a Realtor and, therefore, I do have a bias. However, my customers are both permanent residents and snowbirds and I worked as a commercial broker, so I might have at least some perspective.”

“The proposed portability of the Save Our Homes provision will unleash a desperately needed floodgate of prospects into a stagnant housing market. Growing families will be able to buy a larger home without an impossibly disproportional increase in their property taxes, and empty nesters will be able to downsize to lower their housing costs without seeing much of the needed savings wiped out by an actual tax increase.”

“How does that help solve the problem for other disadvantaged groups? Each sale of property generates large taxes in the form of documentary stamps and the intangible property tax. Sale of homes will increase because of the large pent-up demand of those previously thwarted in their desire to move. Since the sick housing market has been waiting for a "bottom," this increased activity will kick start home sales, further generating more closings tax revenue.”

“The bleeding in the home construction industry and all the other professions adversely affected by the housing slump will abate. The loss of jobs will subside and, in time, be reversed.”

“Voila! With the sharply increased tax revenue from the closing of home sales, the Legislature will have the funds to do something for the snowbirds, business property owners and first-time home buyers. If the lawmakers could just figure out a way to keep local governments (and themselves) from overspending!”

But, all is not lost. If homebuilding slows during this housing slump, there are always other alternatives. The Palm Beach Post reports:

“A small Port St. Lucie home builder appears to be at the center of an investigation into a ring of marijuana grow houses that sprawled across St. Lucie County, where authorities on Tuesday raided 18 homes and seized 420 pounds of pot, officials said.”

“Authorities said they arrested 10 people, including the owner of Global Home Builders of the Treasure Coast, and uncovered 10 indoor marijuana farms during pre-dawn raids.”

“Although authorities said Global Home Builders and some of its employees had an interest in several of the homes raided Tuesday morning, they would not elaborate on the involvement.”

“‘People connected to (Global Homes Builders of the Treasure Coast) have been brought into custody,’ said St. Lucie sheriff's Chief Deputy Garry Wilson; he declined to say more.”

“Global Home Builders' Web site boasts of doing more than 40 years of business on the Treasure Coast and in South Florida.”

“The company obtained permits to build six single-family homes in 2006, the first year it received a city permit, Port St. Lucie building officials said. This year, the company received three permits.”

Tuesday, November 27, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Parkland)

Thank you to a reader who sent me this Parkland foreclosure. During its 83 days on the market, the Bank of New York has dropped this home's price five times from its original listing price of $921,900. Now it's priced 43% below its purchase price only 20 months ago.

6502 NW 66TH WY, Parkland, FL 33067

Update: Once again, inventories continue to increase while prices continue to drop

Towards the end of each month, I update the trends in South Florida housing inventory and the Median Listing Price (read this previous post that explains why I use Median Listing Price instead of Median Sales Price). Just as with every month since I started reporting on these statistics, the trends continue.

Median Listing Price was down 1.62% since last month (from $315,000 to $309,900). This one-month decrease is the largest one-month decrease since Housingtracker.net (my source) started tracking the data in April 2006. The Median Listing Price is now down 11.46% since last year and down 18.44% since April 2006.

Last month, I reported that the inventory trends seem to be slowing. Well, this month it has picked back up again with a 1.57% month-to-month increase. The inventory trend has now resumed its normal growth track. They are now up 19.34% since this time last year and an amazing 52.38% since April 2006.

The following graphs show the trends since April 2006:



Monday, November 26, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Miami Beach)

It's simply amazing to me that someone actually paid $195,000 for a studio apartment at one point. Are their still fools around that will pay over $100,000 now that the market crashed?

1100 11 ST # 207, Miami Beach, FL 33139

Sunday, November 25, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (Liberty City)

Someone once paid nearly $140,000 for this shack in Liberty City. Yet, there are still people out there that claim there was never a bubble. It's being offered at a 48% discount from its 2005 purchase price.


1220 NW 68 ST, Miami, FL 33147





Video: Peter Schiff on Fox News

This video is interesting because it shows that there are still real estate cheerleaders out there. In the coming months, I think we are going to see more and more of them. They will grab any piece of "good" statistical data and turn it into an absolute barometer of the market's bottom.

In this piece, Peter Schiff, who has been deadly accurate in his predictions on housing, debates cheerleader, Danielle Babb:

CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE VIDEO

Saturday, November 24, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Boca Raton)

Seven months after providing 100% financing to the F@cked Buyer, the lender was forced to file a foreclosure lien against the property. Now, just ten months after its purchase, this property is being sold as a short sale, 39% below its January purchase price.

22984 SANDALFOOT BL, Boca Raton, FL





Today's Local Real Estate News: "We're nowhere close to the end of the collapse."

The Sun-Sentinel printed one of its most forthright articles on the mortgage crisis:

“When Domenico Colombo saw that his monthly mortgage payment was about to balloon by 30 percent, he had a clear picture of how bad it could get.”

“His payment was scheduled to surge by an extra $1,500 in December. With his daughter headed to college next fall and tuition to be paid, he feared ending up like so many neighbors in Broward County who defaulted on their mortgages and whose homes are now in foreclosure and sporting ‘For Sale’ signs.”

“Colombo did manage to renegotiate a new fixed interest rate loan with his bank, and now believes he'll be OK — but the future is less certain for the rest of us.”

“In the months ahead, millions of other adjustable-rate mortgages like Colombo's will reset, giving them a higher interest rate as required by the loan agreements and leaving many homeowners unable to make their payments. Soaring mortgage default rates this year already have shaken major financial institutions and the fallout from more of them, some experts say, could spread from those already battered banks into the general economy.”

“When home prices kept rising, these were lucrative assets to own. But the ongoing collapse in housing prices has set off a chain reaction: Lenders are tightening their standards, borrowers are having a harder time refinancing loans and the securities that underpin them are in jeopardy.”

“This has resulted in more than $500 billion of potentially worthless paper on the balance sheets of the biggest global banks — losses that could spill into the huge pension and mutual funds that also invest in these securities and that the average worker or investor expects to depend on.”

“There's more pain left for Wall Street: ‘We're nowhere close to the end of the collapse,’ said Mark Patterson, chairman and co-founder of MatlinPatterson Global Advisors, a hedge fund that specializes in distressed funds.”

The Palm Beach Post ran an editorial discussing the housing bubble (of course they included the myth of the rich foreign investors coming to the rescue):

“There's little doubt that, outside of the high-end market, this area is in a real-estate recession. There's also little doubt that few in the industry raised warnings as the housing bubble got bigger and bigger. Too many people were making lots of money. Those Realtors who blame The Post and other news organizations for reporting the current bad news didn't object when The Post ran its ‘Mapping the Boom’ series.”

“If rising prices fueled the boom, however, falling prices will fuel the recovery. And a look back shows that prices aren't collapsing; they're settling back to traditional levels.”

“From its peak of $400,000 in 2005, the median home price in Palm Beach County is down to about $355,000. In the Treasure Coast, the median price is at $214,200 from a high of $269,400 two years ago. But for Palm Beach County, that still is 40 percent higher than the median home price in 2003. If home prices had risen by a steady 10 percent over those four years, most people would have been happy. Between August 2000 and August 2001, home prices went up just 3 percent. In the Treasure Coast, prices remain about 35 percent higher than in 2003.”

“Lower prices in South Florida will make more homes affordable. Lower prices might help bring down the cost of insurance and taxes. A tax system that doesn't penalize first-time home buyers also would help. The lower dollar will continue to attract foreign buyers. Florida will recover. But the going up won't have been worth the coming down.”

RisMedia discusses mortgage fraud in South Florida:

“In his article ‘Miami condo at ground zero in mortgage fraud,’ Tom Brown highlights the fact that foreclosures follow fast on the heals of mortgage and real estate fraud. As he points out, “fraud accounts for a sizable share of the bad bets on mortgages,” which often result in foreclosures. Lenders get stuck holding the bag, but as we have seen recently, problems in the mortgage industry affect the entire national economy and can even destabilize the global economy.”

“Brown focuses his article on a 643-unit condo known as the Club at Brickell in Miami’s international banking district. Con artists and other opportunists used this building as a vehicle to commit rampant fraud in what are commonly known as cash-back-at-closing deals. With cash back at closing, buyers, sellers, appraisers, real estate agents, and other real estate professionals often conspire to inflate the value of a property to fool a lender into approving a loan that grossly exceeds the true market value of the property.”

“The buyer receives the excess proceeds, the sellers are able to sell their property for close to their asking price, the real estate agent receives a higher commission based on the inflated price tag, and the appraiser is rewarded with another satisfied customer.”

“These cash back at closing schemes have become very popular during the latest housing boom, because they seem like “everybody wins” deals. On the surface, even the lender seems to win-loaning more money and earning more interest over the life of the loan. Unfortunately, however, when the housing bubble bursts, someone gets stuck holding the bag-the lender. And when enough lenders get stuck holding the bag, they simply pass the costs on to investors, homeowners, and taxpayers. The only winners are the con artists who rake in the cash at the closing table.”

The St. Petersburg Time questions how the housing downturn will affect the holiday season’s retail sales:

“Whether Friday's discount-induced buying binge will last remains the big question as merchants fret a weakening economy will slow down their tepid forecast for a 3 percent retail sales gain in Florida.”

“‘We've all got our fingers crossed,’ said Rick McAllister, president of the Florida Retail Federation. His worry? That the housing slump, deteriorating dollar and subprime mortgage crisis will keep the Sunshine State from doing even as well as the national forecast of a modest 4 percent gain in general merchandise sales to $474.5-billion. That would be the worst holiday season nationally in five years.”

“There was little sign shoppers were holding back Friday. In fact, Black Friday - so named for the first day retailers typically become profitable for whole year - is rarely the biggest shopping day of the year. But some experts predict it may be this year, because Hanukkah comes early and Christmas lands on a Tuesday. That means the big finish will be spread over four days.”

Friday, November 23, 2007



Today's F@cked Buyer (SW Miami)

While the losses on this unit are not huge, it does show how prices are now dropping below 2004 prices. This particular unit is listed 9% below its 2004 purchase price.

13936 SW 172 TE, Miami, FL 33177

Thursday, November 22, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Weston)

Ten months after its purchase, this pre-foreclosure is listed for a price that is 15% lower.

1769 HARBOR POINTE CR, Weston, FL 33327




Today's Local Real Estate News: "Trapped, unable to move because they can't sell unless they significantly drop their price."

The Chicago Tribune hints at why the Mainstream Media has been so biased in their reporting of the housing bubble:

“Real estate is the newspaper industry's largest source of classified ads, accounting for $5.16 billion, or 11 percent, of publishers' total ad revenue last year, according to the Newspaper Association of America. The real estate industry spent $2.05 billion advertising online at sites such as Realtor.com and Zillow.com in 2006, Borrell said.”

“Newspapers' print real estate advertising will drop to $3.19 billion a year by 2011, said Borrell, which advises the publishing industry. Newspaper Web sites brought in about $380 million in real estate ads last year, the firm said.”

“‘If the newspapers' share of online advertising remains static or declines, the net loss will be huge, over $860 million in lost advertising from this category alone,’ the report said. Every $1 of lost advertising translates into a 75-cent drop in profit, Martin said.”

“Newspapers believe they will regain much of the real estate advertising they lost this year when the housing market improves, said Charlie Diederich, marketing director for the newspaper association, based in Arlington, Va.”

Forbes explains how the parent company of the Miami Herald relies on real estate advertising:

“The downturn in the housing market is likely to threaten ad sales at newspaper publisher McClatchy, an analyst warned Wednesday.”

“Shares of McClatchy (nyse: MNI - news - people ) fell 21 cents, or 1.4%, to $14.53 at the close, after Bear Stearns analyst Alexia S. Quadrani initiated coverage of the company with an ‘underperform’ rating. Quadrani pointed to strains from the downturn in the U.S. housing market.”

“‘McClatchy’s relatively high concentration in markets that are most exposed to the housing downturn will likely continue to depress overall results and deliver another year of industry-leading declines in newspaper advertising growth," said Quadrani.”

“Home sales have drastically slowed in many regions. Demand has waned as access to mortgages tightens. This hurts McClatchy because home sales are often advertised in local papers.”

“Over a third of McClatchy's advertising revenue comes from Florida and California. The real estate markets in both states have seen a particularly sharp downturn.”

“McClatchy is headquartered in Sacramento. The company is the third-largest newspaper publisher by circulation. Its papers include the Miami Herald and the Sacramento Bee.”

Florida Today reveals how even biased statistics like median sale price are manipulated by the Florida Association of Realtors®:

“Brevard County had the largest percentage drop in housing prices in the last quarter of any major market in the United States, the National Association of Realtors reported Wednesday.”

“In what some experts are calling the nation's worst housing slump in decades, the quarterly sales report showed housing values fell in many of the 156 major markets around the nation, but none by more than the 12.4 percent drop on the Space Coast.”

“The median resale price of single-family homes in Brevard fell to $182,400 in the third quarter, down from $208,200 in the third quarter last year, according to the report.”

“Meanwhile, the Florida Association of Realtors, which uses a different method of compiling sales data, reported Wednesday the median home resale price in Brevard fell 9 percent in the third quarter to $196,500, down from $215,400 in the third quarter of 2006.”

“Some market observers thought the local market would have been stronger by now.”

“‘I'm surprised that it's still continuing. You keep thinking it's going to turn around,’ Space Coast Association of Realtors President Lance Vandeberg said, referring to about slumping sales and prices”

In more interesting spin, the Orlando Sentinel tries to boast their horrible real estate market by showing that it still not as bad as South Florida’s. It also shows the silliness of the median price statistic by claiming that Miami’s market did not see a decline:

“Sales in Orlando's four-county metro area were still down 39 percent from a year ago, when the market was cooling but still far hotter than it is now, the Florida Association of Realtors reported. But the 4,005 homes sold by Realtors in Metro Orlando bested all other metro areas except Tampa-St. Petersburg, which recorded 5,913 resales of single-family homes.”

“Miami-Dade County, the state's largest metro area, has nearly twice as many people as Metro Orlando, yet Orlando Realtors sold more than three times as many single-family homes as their Miami counterparts. Miami's third-quarter total -- 1,250 -- was down 42 percent from the same period a year earlier, the biggest percentage decline of any of the state's large metro areas.”

“Statewide, 31,910 single-family homes were sold through Realtors, down 29 percent from the third quarter of 2006. Homes sold by individuals are not counted in the report, but they constitute a much smaller share of the overall market.”

“The state's median sales price continued to slip in the third quarter from a year earlier, down 6 percent to $232,100.”

“Every metro market posted a price decline except Miami, which was essentially flat with a 1 percent increase to $380,400. Orlando's price dip matched the state average of 6 percent, but the $247,700 figure was still 7 percent higher than the statewide median.”

The Palm Beach post details dropping median sales prices in Palm Beach County:

“Palm Beach County single-family home prices in the third quarter declined 4 percent compared with the same quarter of 2006, and in the Treasure Coast prices fell 13 percent compared with the year-ago period, FAR said.”

“The region's housing market slump is clearly worsening. And frustrated home sellers arguably are feeling most of the sting.”

“According to FAR, the median price of a Palm Beach County existing single-family home was $365,400, down from $380,900 in the third quarter of last year. Meanwhile, in the Treasure Coast - which includes Martin and St. Lucie counties - the median price fell to $218,300, FAR said. The median is the midpoint where half the homes sold for more and half sold for less.”

“While the third-quarter figures offer few surprises, experts say they are a sobering reminder of the ongoing hangover from the region's real estate boom. Home prices in Palm Beach County reached a high of $421,500 in November of 2005, FAR records show. As of September, area prices have declined for 16 straight months.”

“Both the state and national Realtors associations release their October sales reports next week, and more disappointing news is expected.”

“‘What goes unexplained is how so many people got caught up in this real estate fantasy after losing money in the tech-wreck bear market of 2000-2002,’ said John Pankauski of the Pankauski Law Firm in West Palm Beach. ‘It seems that as history repeats itself, it costs more each time.’”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on seniors that are “trapped” in their homes because they refuse to lower their prices:

“Alice Gordon was getting ready to put her villa up for sale in Palm Isles, but she's decided to wait.”

“After two falls, she uses a walker, and an aide helps her and does the grocery shopping. She wants to move into independent living, but Alice is putting her move on hold because of the flat real estate market.”

“How long was she told it would take to sell her place? ‘Forever,’ she said, laughing.”

“Alice's scenario is played out across the swath of retirement communities, especially in western Delray Beach, where people bought condos decades ago. Now many of them are trapped, unable to move because they can't sell unless they significantly drop their price. ‘The real estate market is making it extremely difficult for residents who want to go into assisted living or go up to be by their children,’ said Bob Schulbaum, longtime president of the Alliance of Delray Residential Associations, which has 65 members in the city and western suburbs that he estimates house about 70,000 people. ‘They're tapping their savings to bring in aides.’”

Wednesday, November 21, 2007




Today's F@cked Buyer (Homestead)

According to the Florida Association of Realtors®, Miami-Dade home prices are up 1% since last year. According to this home (and all the other daily F@cked Buyer posts), the prices are down significantly. This one is listed 36% below its purchase price 18 months ago.

1499 YELLOWTHROAT ST # 1499, Homestead, FL 33035




Today's Local Real Estate News: "This housing market is killing, killing small business in Florida and California."

The Sun-Sentinel reports on slowing new residential construction:

“Construction of single-family homes in October skidded to the lowest level in 16 years, although the slide was cushioned somewhat by a rebound in apartment building.”

“The Commerce Department reported Tuesday that total housing construction rose by 3 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.229 million units. But all the strength occurred in a hefty rebound in apartment construction, which is extremely volatile.”

“The bigger single-family sector actually fell by 7.3 percent to an annual rate of 884,000 units, the slowest pace since October 1991, when housing was going through another steep downturn. In another worrisome sign, applications for building permits fell for a fifth consecutive month.”

“The housing slump is expected to worsen in 2008. Builders are cutting jobs, selling land and slashing prices to weather the downturn. Bonita Springs-based WCI Communities Inc., which builds in South Florida, recently cut 575 jobs. Meanwhile, Fort Lauderdale-based builder Levitt and Sons filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy this month after defaulting on more than $300 million in loans. In the past two months, the builder laid off most of its 412 workers and stopped construction of homes.”

“Hollywood-based builder TOUSA Inc. also is considering bankruptcy and said it has serious doubts about whether it can remain in business.”

In very troubling national news that shows that the credit crisis is not limited to subprime, Freddie Mac announced ballooning losses:

“The mortgage crisis intensified Tuesday as Freddie Mac, the nation's No. 2 buyer and guarantor of home loans, posted its largest quarterly loss ever and warned that it may need to curtail its business unless it can raise fresh capital.”

“Freddie Mac lost $2 billion in the third quarter, much more than Wall Street was expecting, primarily because it needed to set aside $1.2 billion to account for bad home loans. Freddie Mac also said it may slice in half its quarterly dividend of 50 cents per share — which would be its first dividend cut since becoming a public company in 1989.”

“That double dose of bad news sent Freddie Mac's shares skidding 28.7 percent, the largest decline in the two decades its shares have traded in public markets.”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on development in Plantation:

“When the city decided to redevelop 860 acres in the Midtown district five years ago, officials estimated it would take until 2025 to complete the job.”

“Builders, eager to profit from the housing boom, drew up elaborate plans for large buildings that would combine retail and residences, flanked by fountains and lush parks. But the housing slump threatens to delay the project's completion by five years, City Councilwoman Diane Veltri Bendekovic said.”

“Already, a growing number of jittery buyers are looking to bail out of their condominium contracts, and some major developers are slowing plans for new housing. The convergence of these factors may mean the city's tax base will suffer, forcing cuts to staff or services to make up the difference as operating costs continue to rise, City Councilman Jerry Fadgen said.”

Local office supply giant, Office Depot, announced reduced earning due to the housing slump:

“Office Depot Inc., the world's second-largest office supply retailer, unveiled a turnaround strategy Tuesday after announcing that its third-quarter profit dropped about 9 percent compared with the same period last year.”

“Third-quarter 2007 net earnings were $117 million compared with $129 million in the same period last year. Revenue increased 2 percent to $3.9 billion. Sales at North American stores open at least one year were down 5 percent.”

“Company officials pegged North American sales declines to a soft housing market in Florida and California, where consumers and small businesses have curtailed spending and face a credit crunch. About 25 percent of Office Depot's retail business and 30 percent of its business sales are concentrated in Florida and California.”

“‘This [housing market] is killing, killing small business in Florida and California,’ Odland said.”

Not that we should trust their data at all, Zillow reports that many homeowners in the past year now have negative equity. In their report, they rank the major Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). The Miami-Ft. Lauderdale MSA ranks second worst only behind Los Angeles with 30% of all homeowner who purchase in the past year with negative equity:

“Home values nationwide declined for the fourth consecutive quarter, down 5.7 percent year-over-year -- the largest year-over-year decline in more than a decade, according to Zillow's Q3 2007 Home Value Report (1) released today. This brings the U.S. Zindex(R) home value indicator (2) to $244,000, down 2.8 percent from the second quarter. The Zindex is the median Zestimate(R) valuation and measures all homes in an area, not just those that have sold during the quarter.”

“For many homeowners who bought during the last two years when most local markets reached their peak, subsequent declines in value have left them with negative home equity, owing more than the home is currently worth. As of September 30, nearly 16 percent (15.6%) of homeowners nationwide who bought in the last year (3) and 17.5 percent of those who purchased two years ago have current home values that are less than the original mortgage amount. By comparison, less than 2 percent (1.8%) of those who purchased a home five years ago have seen their equity slide into the negative.”

“Not surprisingly, markets with the greatest proportion of homes with negative equity were those hit hardest by declining values. For example, people who purchased homes in California's Central Valley, parts of Florida and Las Vegas during the past year have seen double-digit depreciation and negative equity rates reach up to five times the national median.”