Wednesday, August 8, 2007

Today's Local Real Estate News

The Palm Beach Post reports on the high rate of foreclosures in Palm Beach County:

“Debt-burdened homeowners in Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast defaulted on their mortgages last month at more than triple the pace of July 2006. In Palm Beach County, 1,142 homeowners lost their bid for the American dream - or their investment flip - compared with 370 foreclosures in the same month a year ago, the Palm Beach County clerk's office said Tuesday.”

“Indeed, as the mortgage crisis spreads from subprime borrowers to those with good credit - but bad investment decisions - home prices are poised to fall because fewer buyers are qualified for loans with the tightened lending standards.”

“In this environment, a record number of homeowners sought financial counseling from a national hot line operated by the nonprofit Homeownership Preservation Foundation.”

“‘Homeowners are entering delinquency at record pace, putting them at serious risk for losing their homes,’ said Colleen Hernandez, president of the group.”

“More than 150,000 troubled homeowners facing foreclosure called the hot line in the second quarter of this year, up from 7,000 in the first quarter, Hernandez said.”

Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate in economics, writes on the source of housing bubble in the Miami Herald:

“The pessimists who have long forecasted that America's economy was in for trouble are coming into their own. Of course, there is no glee in seeing stock prices tumble as a result of soaring mortgage defaults. But it was largely predictable, as are the likely consequences for both the millions of Americans who will be facing financial distress and the global economy.”

“The story goes back to the recession of 2001. With the support of Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, President Bush pushed through a tax cut designed to benefit the richest Americans but not to lift the economy out of the recession that followed the collapse of the Internet bubble. Given that mistake, the Fed had little choice if it was to fulfill its mandate to maintain growth and employment: It had to lower interest rates, which it did in an unprecedented way -- all the way down to 1 percent.”

“The housing price bubble eventually broke, and, with prices declining, some have found that their mortgages are larger than the value of their houses. As interest rates rose, others found they could not make their payments. Too many Americans built no cushion into their budgets, and mortgage companies, focusing on the fees generated by new mortgages, did not encourage them to do so.”

“Just as the collapse of the real-estate bubble was predictable, so are its consequences: Housing starts and sales of existing homes are down, and housing inventories are up. By some reckonings, more than two-thirds of the increase in output and employment over the past six years has been real estate-related, reflecting both new housing and households borrowing against their homes to support a consumption binge.”

“The housing bubble induced Americans to live beyond their means -- net savings has been negative for the past couple of years. With this engine of growth turned off, it is hard to see how the American economy will not suffer from a slowdown. A return to fiscal sanity will be good in the long run, but it will reduce aggregate demand in the short run.”

I recently included links to a PBS documentary on corruption in the Miami-Dade Housing Agency (click her for the link). Thankfully, the Feds have stepped in and have taken over the agency. The Miami Herald reports:

“The federal government's plan to take over the Miami-Dade Housing Agency played out in demonizing statements and angry speeches Tuesday, suggesting the long-term rebuilding of the county's affordable-housing program will be trapped in a legal and political power struggle.”

“The two sides cannot even agree on the Housing Agency's current condition -- local leaders said it's on the mend, while Washington officials said it may be worse than ever -- much less on how it should change.”

“At stake is about $275 million in federal funds, which Miami-Dade uses to house about 25,000 families in one of the least affordable counties in the nation. Unless blocked by a judge, a HUD-appointed administrator plans to arrive in Miami on Aug. 20 with broad authority to replace staff, spend money and change programs.”

“Alvarez, County Manager George Burgess and the County Commission would lose all control of the agency -- a devastating blow to their credibility, as well as their power to guide where, when and how public housing is built and renovated.”

The Sun-Sentinel reports on another trend that is hampering sales at some South Florida condos:

“Boards statewide have begun toughening their standards because of concerns about applicants' ability to pay monthly maintenance fees. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, buyers were qualifying for low adjustable-rate mortgages with little or no money down. Unable to pay both their mortgage and association obligations, the new owners ignored their maintenance and special assessment obligations.”

“Boards were stuck. They couldn't foreclose because the new owners had no equity. That forced all other owners to pick up the unpaid share of the common expenses, such as water, insurance, pest control, pool maintenance and landscaping.”

“Boards have almost unlimited power to reject buyers and renters as long as their governing documents allow it and no illegal discrimination is involved, according to Randall K. Roger, whose Boca Raton-based law firm represents 600 associations in South Florida. State law recognizes the right of associations to determine who can buy and rent but doesn't set standards for boards to follow.”

“Roger said associations must use objective guidelines, such as a test to determine if the applicant is able "to meet the expectations of unit or homeownership" and the association must not deviate from them.”

“However, sellers lament that in today's real estate market, they face a lot of competition for buyers. According to Miami-based Keyes Co., about 47,000 houses and condos were for sale in Broward and 37,000 in Palm Beach County at the end of June.”

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

I can't say I blame the HOA for putting financial restrictions on potential buyers. In my community, nearly 20% of the homeowners are past due on their HOA fees. I fear most of them are people facing foreclosure and have simply stopped paying all bills. This just puts a bigger burden on those of us who do pay the bill.

Of course, it's a Catch-22. By putting more restrictions on who can buy, the HOA puts further downward pressure on home prices.

Screwed if we do. Screwed if we don't.

Anonymous said...

Where are associations getting the money with the wave of foreclosures.

Anonymous said...

"Where are associations getting the money with the wave of foreclosures."

In the case of my HOA, we've had to raise the rates on all the paying homeowners to make up for all the deadbeats.

Anonymous said...

Thank you again for this blog.
Will proudly rent while residing in Florida. Trying other investment avenues. Too many hands in pot and real estate is as risky as the stock market. Wish they would give me the share I have been paying into social security. I need mine now. It won't be there in 30 years. PROUD RENTER. We pay $500.00 per month. We live in a dump. But it's gas, the water is clean and the security (thanks to police department) we are safe. Our skin color is brown. Government classifies us as black whatever. We are not on any government subsidy and never have been. We thought about a trailer park but the toxic issues and some were really quite nasty but they are cheap.
We are both college grads. One teacher one IT tech. We live here because we pay $250.00 per person and everything else is $1400-1600. Buying a house in Florida was simply not worth it. We love Florida but there isn't much to love anymore. Every one is angry, hates everyone and this place is ripe for a culture war. If people aren't griping about blacks, they are griping about gays, if not gays, the illegal immigrants (because everyone with a Spanish sounding name is illegal of course). And if it isn't those three it's the fundamentalists and religious yahoos. Florida has some angry people. I am Florida born raised have lived in so far five cities and everywhere people are disgruntled looking for someone to blame.

Solutions:

Drop property tax completely.
Increase state tax to 11%.
Drop the lotto. What a complete waste.
Cap salaries at county/city covernment level. Make that mess voluntary at best.
Drop car PIP insurance requirement. What a complete rape of the system.

What do you think? See I don't think it is just about the housing market anymore. The QUALITY OF LIFE in Florida has to improve. People are not only not buying because of the prices...they are not buying because of the QUALITY OF LIFE. You cannot sell Florida on its sunshine and beaches any more.

Anonymous said...

I agree totally that the Quality of Life in Florida is below any other state I've lived in. Yesterday when I was reading this blog, I thought, "I wonder if anyone who doesn't own a house in S Fla is still seriously considering it." I may look at ziprealty, read these blogs, but in truth I don't think I will buy a house here even if the prices drop 50%. The reason is just what the last anon said QUALITY OF LIFE. I rent an apartment that is overpriced at 1150 per month. When I moved here last year rents had peaked. Even though it's overpriced, it's far less than a house would cost. Most of the sfh are really crappy and thats why average houses (by standards of elsewhere I've lived) have such high prices. But I think I'll just rent, find another job (hopefully) in a more reasonably priced state and leave. Because, if food prices and prices of other staples are going to go up big time. Real estate is minor worry. Florida already has the highest cost of living of any state in the country, including CA, and I think its going to get a lot worse. Cost of food has to include insurance and property taxes by grocery stores, and the State is going to bill them like crazy.

Anonymous said...

Totally agree on your comment about SFH being crappy. It is absolutely ridiculous what the homeowners want you to pay for a SFH. I mean they are living in a fog and what they want you to put down, security, first and last COME ON! I am not going to pay your 4 month over due mortgage payment. And dealing with private owners is horrible. Absolute nightmare. Yeah, they may not do credit checks and all that garbage but they don't want to return your security and nickle and dime you over stupid stuff. I say it and will say it again, QUALITY OF LIFE. Until people stop thinking they can get rich quick and every new get rich bandwagon a bunch of people stop jumping on board, Florida is going to sink. Check out the salaries of the city and county managers. They love this place. Do you see how much the Library Directors are making. Talk about wasteful spending. Yes a graduate degree is necessary but two of those Associate Directors have been in the system for over 30 years and counting and make well over 100,000 meanwhile librarians are making pennies and those cheap directors only give bonuses to themselves. It is such a rip off scheme.

Other wasteful departments include:

Housing Agency
and the Fire Department.

Administration makes tons...check out Miami Dade County what a scam operation. Meanwhile who gets the brunt of the jokes...the people that take advantage of the free services. They are called free loaders.

Sad. Quality of Life is horrible. We are staying in this $500/month crap hole for another two years then...I-95 North. I will miss Florida. I love the hot weather but a culture war is brewing.
Check out Wilton Manors. What an overpriced bunch of garbage. Oakland Park, Inverrary (caribbean cess pool) sorry but Inverrary is trashed (yeah I said it). Sunrise dump. Parts of Davie dump. Hollywood dump. Parts of Pompano dump. Palm Beach dump. Where is there to go. Weston..stinks and over priced dump. Pembroke Pines CROWDED!

Used to be you ran in the opposite direction of black people (yeah I said it) but the reality everyone is nasty. It is all intermingled into a blob of filth. No one takes care of their property. Property values? What a bunch of bull crap. There is no such thing. It is a fallacy and a scheme. The only people that got rich are mortgage brokers, RE lawyers and bankers.

Where is there to go? County line Road? Dump. Miami Dade County dump. Homestead? Dump. Coral Gables sorry but that is an over priced garbage dump. Those houses are old, too close together and OLD! Did I say old?

I have a question. Why does every homeowner think their property is worth millions? Come On. Some of this stuff I wouldn't let my dog and cats use the bathroom in.

Anonymous said...

I made the comment about blacks not to be racist. Because it is a fact and everyone knows the nasty rumor run in the opposite direction of the black people and run in the direction of the gays. If the gays move in buy property. Well the gays can't be counted on because Wilton Manors is a dump too. A very overpriced dumping hole. That stuff across from the Gay and Lesbian Center is yuck.

I don't agree obviously that you should run in the opposite direction. But the rumor is out and no one has bothered to dispell it. Go to Atlanta and you will see black wealth. Here. Forget it.

check out these townhomes they have over off Andrews and Sistrunk.. They want $340,000. Make it so you can post pictures and I will post one. You would not believe this. IT IS A BLOCK AWAY FROM SISTRUNK AVENUE! $340,000.

Are they serious? $340,000 to live a block away from Sistrunk.

Anonymous said...

I'm with the original Anonymous brown guy. I absolutely choose to live where the black people do not. I make it a conscious decision when I choose a home. That's real world, and that's what keeps me safe.